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What will be the poster for the final according to Opta’s AI after the quarter-finals


Just minutes after the end of the Champions League quarter-finals, the odds were updated for qualification for the final.

The last four of the Champions League are known. This Wednesday, at the end of another evening full of twists and turns, Bayern Munich resisted the return of Real Madrid (4-3). A match which could have changed until the last minutes, the exclusion of Eduardo Camavinga having changed the situation.

It will therefore be a reunion between Paris Saint-Germain, reigning European champion, and Bayern Munich in the semi-final. The Parisians will host the first leg on April 28, before traveling to the Allianz Arena on May 6. And, despite its status as title holder, the Parisian club is not one of the favorites to qualify for the final. According to Opta’s AI, the final will pit Bayern Munich… against Arsenal, who must face Atlético Madrid to reach the final match of the competition on May 30.

The chances of qualifying for the Champions League final

Club

Probability

Arsenal

74,87%

Bayern Munich

60,55%

PSG

39,45%

Atlético de Madrid

25,13%

Source: Opta Analyst, as of April 15, 2026

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