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Which club will win the competition according to Opta’s AI after the quarter-finals


As the Champions League quarter-finals ended this Wednesday, Opta updated its table of favorites to win the competition.

Will Paris Saint-Germain manage to retain their European champion title this season? The Parisians are in any case still in the race to achieve it. The Rouge et Bleu eliminated Liverpool on Tuesday evening at Anfield (2-0, 4-0 on aggregate) and validated their ticket to the last four, the third in a row.

Facing them, the Parisians could find Real Madrid or Bayern Munich, winners in the first leg (2-1). And at the end of a spectacular match, it was the Bavarians who qualified to offer a reunion with PSG. A final before its time for many, a gala poster for sure.

And just minutes after the end of these quarter-finals, which also saw Atlético Madrid and Arsenal qualify, Opta updated its data. The statistics institute sees Arsenal being crowned European champions next May.

Who will win the Champions League according to Opta’s AI

Club

Probability

Arsenal

38,58%

Bayern Munich

33,34%

PSG

19,10%

Atlético de Madrid

8,98%

Source: Opta Analyst, as of April 15, 2026

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