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PSG, Arsenal, Bayern… Who will win the Champions League according to Opta’s AI after the round of 16 second leg


Opta had pinned its hopes of victory on several clubs at the start of the season, all of them are still in the running. Arsenal, Bayern Munich, PSG or the two Clasico giants can dream of a European title.

After the knockout stages of the Champions League, choose clarifies its predictions a little more. Who will complete the most dangerous competition in European football? The favorites appear over time and are confirmed. Arsenal, still undefeated, has enough to easily reach the semi-finals. The duel against Sporting CP appears clearly within the Gunners’ reach.

Bayern Munich will have to get rid of Real Madrid… Vincent Kompany’s squad has become a goal machine since the start of the season. Paris Saint-Germain, reigning champions, are in the race for a double. Like last season in the round of 16, we will have to beat Liverpool to reach the last four. Finally, FC Barcelona will once again meet Atlético de Madrid, the club which eliminated it in the Copa del Rey.

Opta’s favorites for the Champions League title after the round of 16

Source: Opta du 19 March 2026

Club

Chance percentage

Arsenal

29,73%

Bayern Munich

18,33%

FC Barcelona

15,66%

PSG

11,87%

Real Madrid

9,85%

Liverpool

7,12%

Atlético de Madrid

4,41%

Sporting CP

3,03%

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